How popular is a big Beautiful Bill Act of President Trump (OBBBA)? Judging by titles and new polls, one can answer, using polling terminology, “not too much” or “not” popular.
I don’t doubt the polls. Poll G. Elliot Morris He gave us consistently overturning all the latter and the verdict seems to be unanimous. To get only three particularly approved, 27% of registered voters Quinnipiac’s The poll in early June supported the law, while 53% opposed. The Kaiser Family Foundation poll found that 35% of adults in favor of June and 64% are opposed. The last middle June Fox News poll of registered voters scored the results in 38% support in 59% opposition. In addition, many more voters in the Fox poll said the bill would harm their families more (49%) than helping them (23%). Less than half (49%) of Republicans say the bill will help!
But there are other ways to read the recent weeks that give us a better sense of how long the legislation will be in terms of public opinion, especially because it relates to the Congress elections in 2026.
In early June Washington Post/Ipsos The poll, 34% of respondents said they had heard a lot or a good amount to issue the bill. In a Morning Consult poll released on July 1, as the Senate prepared for a vote, 38% said they had seen, heard or read a lot about the bill. This was a high water sign in monitoring, but the answer was not significantly different from the previous Post/Ipsos poll. Other issues such as Iran’s strike have ordered much more attention. This relative lack of attention is not removed from the fact that most people oppose it, but may alleviate some of the policy of some of the non -popular provisions of the legislation.
In understanding public emotion, it is important to recognize that some of the provisions of the bill are very popular. The expansion of tax cuts for everyone, except for the rich (with tax boundaries defined differently in polls) is popular. In the Washington Post/Ipsos poll, for example, 73% favored to expand tax cuts for those who have income for less than $ 100,000 (or $ 200,000 for couples). Sixty -five percent supported the elimination of tax on advice. Increasing children’s tax credit is popular (at 72% in this poll), and polls show that the requirement of work on competent people, non -candidates generally collect more support than the opposition. Fifty -two percent in the poll/ipsos poll supported the job requirement. In the poll, by a close of 42% to 37%, adults supported the termination of the electricity tax credit. Medicaid cuts and the expansion of tax cuts for wealthy Americans are deeply popular, but the bill is a mixed bag for most people.
Confidence in Washington in all democratic and democratic administrations has been low for a long time and some of the opposition in polls legislation probably reflects the widespread belief that Americans rarely believe they will benefit from large money accounts in Washington.
All recent polls have shown sharp deforming divisions on law, but most show that Democrats are opposed to the bill more strongly than Republicans support. In the Quinnipiac poll, for example, 67% of Republicans supported the bill, but 89% of Democrats opposed it. This is a real problem for GOP. A small property is already spent on democratic and democratic speech points in areas that are considered competitive. Democrats have an advantage at this point in the wars of messages and Republicans in areas with agricultural hospitals, and large Medicaid populations feel heat, but it is too early to make definitive statements for an election that is even more than a year away.
Trump has so far had a good summer, with a strike at Iran’s nuclear facilities, a good June job report, the possible ceasefire ceasefire, the reduction of border crossing and the signature of this bill. But there are other issues – such as the continuation of high inflation and the possible exaggeration of immigration – which could be more important for voters in the next fall. Most Americans celebrate the fourth July and do not think much about Washington. The verdict for his big beautiful bill is still outside.
