The giant robot who throws man in a trash container. Technical intelligence replacement of jobs. Vector … more
agingNew investigation by Elon University Imagine the digital future center He has investigated almost 200 world -class experts for the future, as people are on the impact of artificial intelligence (AI).
The result is a fantastic look at a near future defined by a mixture of dystopia and utopia. What is clear is the scale of change on the horizon: 61% of experts investigated in the study predicted the impact of AI being “deep and meaningful” or “fundamental and revolutionary”.
The co-author of the exhibition, Janna Anderson, told me: “It is a revealing and provocative statement of the deep depth of change that people are subjected to, mostly without observing it at all, as we adapt the deeper uses of promoting digital technologies. A future AI did not intend.
Here are five significant implications for the evolving leadership from the report.
Multiple self and mental health
We are no longer static. We have idols, proxies and digital twins that manage our deadlines and maybe even our deaths. As I note with my own contribution to the report, we will come to redefine ourselves as a “database”, a constellation of algorithmically managed persons adapted to the frame, the platform and the public. This will make the concept of authenticity obsolete.
The increasingly mediated future we are heading towards the collapse of the environment and the collapse of identity. Until now, most experts have warned about digital deep, but it is beginning to show many that in a time of AI we will face an internal rather than an external crisis.
Perhaps this is why 45% of the experts asked believe that this type of co-existence of AI will have more negative than the positive effect on mental well-being by 2035.
Barry Chudakov, of Sertain Research, seems to be a future in which schizophrenia becomes the physical state of most people, with part of us on the internet and part of us using AI to help self-care, self-mark and self.
The general, Neil Richardson, suggests that our digital shadows, all of our electronic expressions and biometric traces, can soon overcome us, creating some posthumous identity that transcends mortality.
While technology based on Silicon Valley, Paul Saffo, suggests that an AI actor will win the best supporting actress at the 2035 Oscars.
A crisis of moral autonomy
Evelyne Tauchnitz, a senior researcher at the Lucerne Graduate School of Ethics, explores the consequences of this shift for human freedom and personal service. Her concern is clear: the recommendations, manipulations and AI algorithms designed to push us to what is considered “normal” will create additional pressure to comply and make our ability to choose differently and freely, very compromised. As AI continues to optimize every choice we make from what we eat to whom we trust, he wonders if it will still be possible to oppose the future, adding:
“Freedom is the background of moral ability. If AI directs our actions that shape our behavior based on forecasts based on what is “better”, we lose our moral service. ” It is a shocking thought: in the pursuit of perfection, we can abolish the imperfections that make us human, imperfections that, in this century, our leaders encourage us to embrace.
Indeed, 44% of respondents believed believe that the influence of AI on individual service and the ability to act independently are likely to be more negative than the positive, with only 16% predicting a fairly equal split between positive and negative change.
Synthetic comrades, misunderstood lives
AI will not only live our minds. Increasingly, it will replace our relationships.
Nell Watson, president of Euraio, the European Head of Artificial Intelligence, suggests that “AI’s romantic partners will offer idealized relationships that will make human collaborations seem unnecessary difficult. Interactions.
In this parasitic future, emotionally attached becomes programmable. We create links with digital figures that neither disappoint nor require a compromise. The relationship is one -way, love is without friction. After all, why are you struggling to understand another work colleague when your AI working partner is already optimized to agree with you?
As Schulzrinne points out about personal life, online dating can keep his frustration, but “who will pride a 25 -year marriage with a bot?”
The same can be said about long -term, loyal labor relations with companies.
Curiosity through cognitive cooperation
Not all findings are dark. Some respondents see this transformation the opportunity for personal development.
David Weinberger of Berkman Klein Center for Harvard University’s Internet & Society, envisions a future in which AI allows us to observe things that people cannot. By lifting the cognitive burdens that limit human perception, he believes that AI can expand and not reduce our understanding and encourage people to see the world differently. AI will be there to teach us for ourselves and inspire us to explore in new ways.
Dave Edwards, co -founder of the Institute of Artificiality, offers a complementary vision. He talks about AI systems as “minds for our minds”, part of a distributed system of knowledge that increases and not replace the human crisis. The challenge, he warns, is to avoid commercialization of intimacy and the rejection of technology companies that continue to extract our intimacy for profit.
There is much more positivity than experts on how AI will improve and enhance our human curiosity and ability to learn. 42% predict more positive change than negative change in this area, and only 5% see little or no change by 2035. AI is considered an extensive tool for human learning and a kind of incentive to ask more questions, examine more options and generally expand, rather than reduce human thought.
Avoiding moderation
Finally, there is a warning about the consequences of the information standardization efforts through the machines. The innovation professor, Alf Rehn, describes AI systems in 2035 as “moderation engines” saying that AI is lagging behind when it comes to spark and spirit thus failing creativity. It seems that today’s smart machines produce mainly acceptable, average mass outputs, leveraging the peaks and valleys of true human innovation.
However, the future does not need to overcome. In fact, it offers an opposite picture: the alien AI calls “octopuses” that produce truly strange results, not with imitation of people, but with thought differently. In this way, a brighter future lies in hybrid intelligence, not homogeneous exits.
Driving with people
What is clear in all essays and results of the research is that the key issue of the next decade is not technical – it is existential. The ultimate fear is not that by 2035 we will be replaced, but that we will be completely reshaped to the AI image, forgetting what it once was. Indeed, Paul Saffo predicts that the best sales book of 2035 will be called “what was man?” It was compiled by AI and purchased by more AIS by real human readers.
However, the co-author of the report, Lee Rainie told me: “The expert respondent gave us an important picture. When they identified creativity, curiosity and decision -making as three human characteristics that could be a positive benefit as AI systems evolve, they underline the structural elements of leadership. Basically, we were told that the good leadership based on these characteristics can be the ultimate grace of people in the world that is coming. “
This suggests that successful co-existence with AI should not be judged by how well these systems serve us, but how well they maintain our ability to grow and record our own course as humans.
The author was one of the 200 experts in world technology asked.