Armenia-Azerbaijan’s peace deal and the new Trump corridor

Armenia and Azerbaijan leaders signed a Brokered Trump peacekeeping In the White House that ends decades of tension and conflict – if it holds. The agreement includes the creation of an extremely profitable strategic commercial corridor passing through both countries, encouraging them to remain on the road. This route, now known as Zangezur corridor (previously discussed by this column many times), will be developed by US companies and will reconnect the Trump route for international peace and prosperity (Tripp). It will include rail lines, communication lines, oil and gas pipelines.

Why is the route so important that elderly opponents may have buried the hat to happen? The corridor would forge a path from Stans to Central Asia under the Caucasus to Turkey and beyond the world, effectively rejuvenating the old silk road. This means that it will bypass both Russia and Iran, countries that have so far worked to maintain Central Asia’s commercial access to western bottles except their territory. In particular, Russia is the loser here that has dominated the ground for over two centuries, imposing a dependency on chuck and dependence on Moscow on its backyard on Turkmenistan to Kyrgyzstan. These economies are now liberated geopolitical from effective control by Russia.

The Armenians understand the geopolitical consequences well. It seems, at first glance, like their historical opponents – that is, the Turkish world – are authorized and naturally reconnected through this plan. So why has Armenia consent? Answer: Because Armenians are now distrusting Moscow as a security guarantor and have found a new one. As this column has pointed out many times, Moscow has repeatedly failed to defend its allies in recent years (thinking Syria and Iran) from its complete invasion of Ukraine. The Armenians were surprised that Moscow allowed Azeris to repeat Nagorno Karabakh in 2023, and then hunted and offered to work with Zangezur editions that would include Russia.

With the participation of US participation, Armenia receives a new guarantor of its security, which can maintain the Panukian threat under control and achieves repayment for Moscow’s betrayal. For President Trump, the additional benefits include new leverage for Ukraine’s upcoming peace talks with Putin, he added the leverage against Iran and – what no one has mentioned – the replacement of China’s commercial route (Belt and Road). First, Mr.trump can offer to redefine Russia as a participant in Zangezur – or not depend on Putin’s intolerance. In the latter case, Iran faces the threat of Azerbaijan’s northern Turkish neighbor to rich and act as a magnet in the Iranian province of Azerbaijan to break and participate in his Turkish cousins. As for China, a new Central Asia shopping store makes the regional regional stance of neighboring neighboring Chinese commercial trade and economic influence.

Another factor referring to worldwide coverage for Tripp is the fate of Tbilisa. At present, agriculture is significantly benefiting from acting as a commercial route, mainly for the oil pipeline that goes from Baku via Tbilisa to Ceyhan in Turkey. The Zangezur corridor would make it all unnecessary – thus providing a blow to the agriculture economy. And in its regime, it was universally recognized in accordance with the instructions behind the richest man in the country, Bidzina Ivanishvili, a pre-Russian influence in the country. His main opponent and the former president, now in prison, the pro-American Mikheil Saakashvili has became public pointing out the possible geopolitical and economic disaster for agriculture as opposed to the time of the Western alignment of his term as a leader. “Yes, we end up in complete geopolitical isolation alongside Iran and Russia … This is where our strategic alliance with America and Europe has brought us,” he says, warning of “accelerating migration and deepening poverty” for his country. In short, the destabilization of the Georgian Georgia State would still be a blow to Russia’s strategic influence on its nearby headquarters.

But the prospect for the tripp and the peace agreement are not even smooth sailing. Recently, a leading Iranian minister threatened openly threatening to say that “this corridor will not become an excerpt belonging to Trump but rather a cemetery for Trump’s mercenaries”. Given the amount of the new infrastructure provided for by the agreement, the maximum vulnerability in sabotage must also be taken into account. Which highlights how participating US companies will defend the safety of the route against countries that challenges for gear strategic challenges. Zangezur is essentially the equivalent of a Panama or Suez channel, which needed Western military support for decades during and after completion. Protecting such an effort would definitely require boots on the ground – which contradict that President Trump’s America is committed for the first time to avoid foreign military involvement.