Polls these days seem to be more confused than clarity. The way Donald Trump fits requires examination of long -term voting trends.
Invoices: When Trump threw the hammer on invoices last week, only 23% of voters had heard “a lot” about the deadline in a new Morning voting. In His last Gallup from his great tendency to attitude toward tradeMany more people said trade is an opportunity for growth (81%) than a threat to the economy (14%). This is a removal because, as Gallups and other polls know, Americans believe that many nations, especially China, have not played the rules. The Americans felt that Japan was not playing enough in the 1970s, when the best seller of sociologist Ezra Vogel proclaimed “Japan as #1: Lessons for America”.
What Americans are now interested in is not the free trade per se, but what will the invoices do on their lower line. The uncertainty that surrounds them does not help. In the new Economist/Yougov Research71%, including 55% of Republicans, said Donald Trump’s invoices would cause prices. A CBS/You Gov Survey He found that 71% thought the president did not focus enough on price reduction, while 61% on another question said they were very focused on installing invoices in goods from other countries. In the new Fox News pollOnly 36% were approved by the job they did in invoices. Invoices are a high -wire act for Trump and loses public support for the subject.
Tax cuts: To Atlantic, David Graham It suggests that “if tax cuts are no longer political winners, this is a major shift to American politics”. Tax cuts have not been the winners of public opinion for a long time. Whether cuts are proposed by Republicans or Democrats, Americans simply do not believe they will see a tax cut. In five Gallup polls received since June 1985 and in September 1986, more people believed that their taxes would go up and not reduce or remain themselves under the proposed revision of the Reagan tax. When George Hw Bush said “Read my lips. There are no new taxes” in August 1998, people did not believe him – seven in ten told NBC News/Journal Wall Street Researchers could accept new taxes. Only two out of ten thought he wouldn’t. Barack Obama better did his first polls on whether he could keep his promise that 95% of Americans would not see their taxes grow “with a penny” according to his plans. However, by August 2009, when Fox News asked registered voters if it could keep the promise, 69% believed it could not.
Since 1977, the majority in Gallup polls said that the taxes that pay next year will be higher. Americans may think about their overall federal, state and local tax burden when answering the question. Still, there is a long -term skepticism of policies’ promises in general, and the promises of tax cuts seem particularly unreliable.
The NBC News and the Wall Street Journal began to attend the stance on which party was best for taxes in 1993 and asked the question 35 times by 2018. lead. The advantage of Republicans is the possession of the line in taxes, without cutting them. None of the parties have a clear advantage in dealing with taxes. The Big Beautiful Bill act is such a HodgePodge that Trump may not suffer much from its overall council.
Tips: The Americans supported the supply of Trump’s Megabill to reduce taxes on tips. Recent polls do not show changes to the plans of overturning Americans as a result. IBS He found that 58% –up just 55% two years ago-always say or almost always contribute to employees for services. Forty -two percent responded that they make the choice to upgrade employees based on the quality of the service. Twenty percent in another question reported that they had dug more than they should, while 72% said they were upset and 7% said they were less overturned than they should. Drawing It was also recently released a study showing that 38% are disturbed by pre-emerging extremity screens in cafes, food trucks, etc.
In several new surveys, Republicans have the advantage as a party of change. This is important, but last week’s GDP report, weak inflation and a disappointing job report suggest that the president is facing important principles.
